Skip to main content

New US fuel efficiency standards would cost over US$65 billion in lost revenue

Friday’s proposal by the Obama Administration to increase fuel efficiency standards for cars and light trucks to an average 54.5 miles per gallon (4.32 litres/100 km) between 2017 and 2025 would result in the loss of more than $65 billion in federal funding for state and local highway, bridge and transit improvements, an analysis by the American Road & Transportation Builders Association (ARTBA) shows.
April 17, 2012 Read time: 3 mins
Friday’s proposal by the Obama Administration to increase fuel efficiency standards for cars and light trucks to an average 54.5 miles per gallon (4.32 litres/100 km) between 2017 and 2025 would result in the loss of more than $65 billion in federal funding for state and local highway, bridge and transit improvements, an analysis by the American Road & Transportation Builders Association (ARTBA) shows.

The White House says between now and 2025, this agreement will save American families $1.7 trillion in fuel costs, and result in average fuel savings of over $8,000 per vehicle. If automakers are successful in meeting the plan’s projected goals, it will also save more than six billion metric tons of greenhouse gas — more than the amount of carbon dioxide emitted by the United States last year.

Additionally, these programmes will dramatically reduce America’s oil consumption, saving a total of 12 billion barrels of oil, and by 2025, reducing oil consumption by 2.2 million barrels a day — as much as half of the oil imported from OPEC every day.

But ARBTA president Pete Ruane says the impact on the nation's transportation improvement programme would be like eliminating all federal highway funding for nearly two years.

"Like everyone else, we are supportive of efforts to reduce carbon emissions and improve fuel economy. However, from a public policy perspective, this is a classic case of the left hand not knowing what the right hand is doing," Ruane said. "It's irresponsible to advance such proposals without acknowledging and attempting to mitigate the adverse effect they would have on other areas of federal responsibility like making infrastructure improvements that improve safety, reduce traffic congestion, create jobs and help grow the economy."

Per gallon federal gasoline and diesel taxes collected at the pump are deposited into the federal Highway Trust Fund (HTF). By law, these excises are the primary revenue source for financing road, bridge and transit projects. The less motor fuel used by drivers, the less revenue generated for improvements financed through the HTF.

The analysis, conducted by Dr. William Buechner, a Harvard-trained economist and ARTBA vice president of economics and research, assumes the increase in fuel efficiency standards between now and 2016 will occur as required (the Obama Administration in 2010 put in place an increase from an average 28.3 to 34.1 mpg by 2016). It also assumes the mpg requirement will be phased in at five percent per year from 2017 through 2025 as proposed. The baseline for calculating revenue losses is the U.S. Treasury's February 2009 projections of HTF revenues. As new cars and light trucks are purchased in the future and old ones retired, average fuel economy will improve, reducing the 2009 forecast of gasoline sales and HTF revenues.

The HTF is already taking a revenue hit with the standards put in place in 2010, Buechner says. From fiscal years 2010-2016, he estimates that action will cost the HTF about $9 billion. Thus, if the new standards are enacted, the total loss of revenue for transportation improvements through 2025 is projected at $75 billion.

Given the nation's overwhelming infrastructure needs, Ruane said the nearly two-year overdue federal highway and transit programme reauthorisation bill provides a ripe opportunity for Congress and the President to identify all possible options to generate the revenues necessary to maintain and improve the system.

Related Content

  • AfDB approves funding for transport in Côte d'Ivoire, Mali and Tanzania
    November 30, 2015
    The African Development Bank Group (AfDB) has approved two major transport support and facilitation programmes for Tanzania, Côte d'Ivoire and Mali. Tanzania will receive a US$75.43-million African Development Fund concessional loan and a US$270.95-million African Development Bank loan to finance its Transport Sector Support Programme, which involves interventions in the country's roads, rail and air transport sub-sectors. Identified as a key part of the country's transport sector priorities to suppor
  • US transportation policy needs to restart to sort shortcomings
    August 2, 2012
    Joshua Schank has no illusions when it comes to what he and the Bipartisan Policy Center are suggesting in Performance Driven: New Vision for US Transportation Policy. Released in June of this year, this major report (see Sidebar, 'The Shift in Thinking') advocates no less than a root-and-branch overhaul of the way in which the US transportation system is run - how money is allocated and how the beneficiaries of that funding are selected. As its name suggests, Schank and his colleagues are urging senior US
  • Foxx: US needs to invest more in infrastructure
    July 18, 2014
    US Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx predicted there would be a repeat of this summer’s infrastructure funding debate in Congress next year despite the likelihood of US$10.9 billion bill, passed by the House, becoming law before the end of this month. Foxx said during an interview with MSNBC’s Ed Schultz on Tuesday evening that the House-passed legislation failed to address the long-term issues that have been plaguing federal transportation funding for years. “What’s going on in Capitol Hill right
  • Electronic toll collection: Change is in the air
    November 7, 2024
    Trends in technology plus users’ comfort in adopting new advances indicate that the environment for a new electronic toll collection architecture is evolving. Hal Worrall considers what this might look like