Skip to main content

Taxi sector to lead self-driving market by 2025, say researchers

New findings from Juniper Research reveal that the annual production of self-driving cars will reach 14.5 million in 2025, up significantly from only a few thousands in 2020, to give a global installed base of more than 22 million consumer vehicles by 2025. The new research, Autonomous Vehicles & ADAS: Adoption, Regulation & Business Models 2016-2025, found that the market adoption of AV (Autonomous Vehicle) technology is set to accelerate over the next few years, driven by: Increasingly stringent vehicl
November 24, 2016 Read time: 2 mins
New findings from 7194 Juniper Research reveal that the annual production of self-driving cars will reach 14.5 million in 2025, up significantly from only a few thousands in 2020, to give a global installed base of more than 22 million consumer vehicles by 2025.

The new research, Autonomous Vehicles & ADAS: Adoption, Regulation & Business Models 2016-2025, found that the market adoption of AV (Autonomous Vehicle) technology is set to accelerate over the next few years, driven by: Increasingly stringent vehicle safety specifications; Environmental pressures; and Rapid technological developments.

The research found that driverless vehicles will have a disruptive impact on transportation around the world and will ultimately lead to millions of professional drivers being made redundant. Juniper predicts that city-based taxi services will be one of the key early adopters of driverless vehicles.

Research author Gareth Owen added: “The introduction of driverless cars will result in fundamental changes to the automotive world and society in general; and it is clear that the boundaries between private vehicle ownership, car sharing and rental fleets will increasingly become blurred.”

However, the research warned that following the first-ever fatality in an AV vehicle, the recent Tesla S accident in Florida, the AV industry must convince the public that their vehicles are completely safe.

Juniper found that a number of major OEMs including 1731 BMW, 1686 Toyota and 1959 GM are accelerating their AV development and testing programmes and now have firm plans to launch production vehicles. As a result, Juniper forecasts that driverless vehicles will start to become widespread in the 2020-2025 timeframe, although they will initially be confined to city centres or key routes due to the need for extensive V2X (Vehicle-To-Everything) infrastructure.

Related Content

  • September 18, 2017
    R&D on autonomous, connected and electric vehicles creates growth opportunities, says research
    As the automotive industry faces narrowing margins, the need to look to other revenue streams and keep the customer committed to the brand for their next purchase is paramount, says Frost & Sullivan. Automotive manufacturers are therefore focusing on research and development (R&D) on autonomous, connected, and electrification (ACE) technologies to build fully connected and completely autonomous vehicles. To thrive in this highly competitive, evolving market, manufacturers need to look beyond seeing themselv
  • July 26, 2017
    e-hailing expected to dominate ride hailing market by 2025
    According to the latest research by MarketsandMarkets, the ride hailing market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 19.81 per cent from 2017, to reach a market size of US$276 billion by 2025. The market is primarily driven by rising urbanisation and declining car ownership. The report says e-hailing is expected to dominate the ride hailing market; it solves the problem of the first and last mile connectivity for passengers. It is predominant in urban areas because of declining trend of car ownership and increa
  • October 7, 2016
    Gartner says connected car production to grow rapidly over next five years
    Connected car production is growing rapidly in both mature and emerging automobile markets, according to the latest forecast by Gartner, Forecast: Connected Car Production, Worldwide. The production of new automobiles equipped with data connectivity, either through a built-in communications module or by a tether to a mobile device, is forecast to reach 12.4 million in 2016 and increase to 61 million in 2020.
  • January 20, 2016
    Car safety market worth US$152.59 billion by 2020
    The Markets and Markets report Car Safety Market by System Type (Active Safety & Passive Safety), Safety Regulations by Region (APAC, Europe, North America & Rest of the World), Impact Analysis (Overall Market OEM, Tier I & Consumer) - Trends & Forecast to 2020 estimates the market to be US$93.73 billion in 2015 and projects that it will grow at a CAGR of 10.24 per cent to reach US$152.59 billion by 2020. The market report defines and segments the automotive safety systems market with an impact analysis