Skip to main content

Taxi sector to lead self-driving market by 2025, say researchers

New findings from Juniper Research reveal that the annual production of self-driving cars will reach 14.5 million in 2025, up significantly from only a few thousands in 2020, to give a global installed base of more than 22 million consumer vehicles by 2025. The new research, Autonomous Vehicles & ADAS: Adoption, Regulation & Business Models 2016-2025, found that the market adoption of AV (Autonomous Vehicle) technology is set to accelerate over the next few years, driven by: Increasingly stringent vehicl
November 24, 2016 Read time: 2 mins
New findings from 7194 Juniper Research reveal that the annual production of self-driving cars will reach 14.5 million in 2025, up significantly from only a few thousands in 2020, to give a global installed base of more than 22 million consumer vehicles by 2025.

The new research, Autonomous Vehicles & ADAS: Adoption, Regulation & Business Models 2016-2025, found that the market adoption of AV (Autonomous Vehicle) technology is set to accelerate over the next few years, driven by: Increasingly stringent vehicle safety specifications; Environmental pressures; and Rapid technological developments.

The research found that driverless vehicles will have a disruptive impact on transportation around the world and will ultimately lead to millions of professional drivers being made redundant. Juniper predicts that city-based taxi services will be one of the key early adopters of driverless vehicles.

Research author Gareth Owen added: “The introduction of driverless cars will result in fundamental changes to the automotive world and society in general; and it is clear that the boundaries between private vehicle ownership, car sharing and rental fleets will increasingly become blurred.”

However, the research warned that following the first-ever fatality in an AV vehicle, the recent Tesla S accident in Florida, the AV industry must convince the public that their vehicles are completely safe.

Juniper found that a number of major OEMs including 1731 BMW, 1686 Toyota and 1959 GM are accelerating their AV development and testing programmes and now have firm plans to launch production vehicles. As a result, Juniper forecasts that driverless vehicles will start to become widespread in the 2020-2025 timeframe, although they will initially be confined to city centres or key routes due to the need for extensive V2X (Vehicle-To-Everything) infrastructure.

Related Content

  • September 5, 2014
    Major growth predicted for OEM embedded telematics
    According to a new research report by Berg Insight, shipments of OEM embedded telematics systems worldwide are forecasted to grow from 8.4 million units in 2013 at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30.6 per cent to reach 54.5 million units in 2020. Moreover, Berg Insight forecasts that the number of cars sold worldwide equipped with head-units featuring handset-based telematics capabilities will grow from 7 million in 2013 to 68.5 million in 2020.
  • February 1, 2012
    Advanced in-vehicle user interface - future developments
    Dave McNamara and Craig Simonds, Autotechinsider LLC, look at human-machine interface development out to 2015. The US auto industry is going through the worst crisis it has faced since the Great Depression. But it has embraced technologies that will produce the best-possible driving experience for the public. Ford was the first OEM to announce in-car internet radio and SYNC, its signature-branded User Interface (UI), is held up as the shining example of change embracement.
  • May 24, 2017
    Start-ups ‘steering growth and innovation in global automotive and mobility industry’
    From devising driver monitoring systems to mapping services and driver safety data on the go, start-ups are rapidly emerging in every technological vertical in the automotive space, say Frost & Sullivan researchers. Over 1,700 start-ups are focusing on developing technologies that enable electrification, autonomous cars and mobility solutions to reduce the cost of ownership and enhance user experience. Meanwhile, original equipment manufacturer (OEM) start-up initiatives such as BMW Start-up Garage, the JLR
  • June 23, 2017
    Fifty per cent of consumer cars to have telematics devices by 2022
    A new report from Juniper Research has revealed that, by 2022, 50 per cent of consumer vehicles on the road will have at least one connectivity service, such as telematics, V2X (vehicle-to-everything) communications, or connected car commerce services.