Skip to main content

Taxi sector to lead self-driving market by 2025, say researchers

New findings from Juniper Research reveal that the annual production of self-driving cars will reach 14.5 million in 2025, up significantly from only a few thousands in 2020, to give a global installed base of more than 22 million consumer vehicles by 2025. The new research, Autonomous Vehicles & ADAS: Adoption, Regulation & Business Models 2016-2025, found that the market adoption of AV (Autonomous Vehicle) technology is set to accelerate over the next few years, driven by: Increasingly stringent vehicl
November 24, 2016 Read time: 2 mins
New findings from 7194 Juniper Research reveal that the annual production of self-driving cars will reach 14.5 million in 2025, up significantly from only a few thousands in 2020, to give a global installed base of more than 22 million consumer vehicles by 2025.

The new research, Autonomous Vehicles & ADAS: Adoption, Regulation & Business Models 2016-2025, found that the market adoption of AV (Autonomous Vehicle) technology is set to accelerate over the next few years, driven by: Increasingly stringent vehicle safety specifications; Environmental pressures; and Rapid technological developments.

The research found that driverless vehicles will have a disruptive impact on transportation around the world and will ultimately lead to millions of professional drivers being made redundant. Juniper predicts that city-based taxi services will be one of the key early adopters of driverless vehicles.

Research author Gareth Owen added: “The introduction of driverless cars will result in fundamental changes to the automotive world and society in general; and it is clear that the boundaries between private vehicle ownership, car sharing and rental fleets will increasingly become blurred.”

However, the research warned that following the first-ever fatality in an AV vehicle, the recent Tesla S accident in Florida, the AV industry must convince the public that their vehicles are completely safe.

Juniper found that a number of major OEMs including 1731 BMW, 1686 Toyota and 1959 GM are accelerating their AV development and testing programmes and now have firm plans to launch production vehicles. As a result, Juniper forecasts that driverless vehicles will start to become widespread in the 2020-2025 timeframe, although they will initially be confined to city centres or key routes due to the need for extensive V2X (Vehicle-To-Everything) infrastructure.

Related Content

  • September 15, 2023
    Software is at heart of safe vehicle connectivity, says Qt Group
    Connected vehicle safety isn’t just under threat from malicious actors exploiting code – it’s also about avoiding software faults that could result in harm to people, says Patrick Shelly of Qt Group
  • October 5, 2016
    Evolving commuters' demands to pave the way for car-sharing business models
    Physical integration of public transit systems with car-sharing will enhance convenience and drive growth opportunities, finds Frost & Sullivan's Mobility Team. Its latest study, Future of Car-sharing Market to 2025, says that with vehicle automation rapidly gaining currency, cars-haring operators (CSOs) are developing novel business models to address the evolving mobility demands of commuters. They will initially offer self-parking services, allowing members to drop off vehicles at designated parking lo
  • April 10, 2014
    Subscribers to OEM telematics in Western Europe to exceed 42 million by 2019
    ABI research’s latest research finds that the number of subscribers to Factory-installed Safety and Security telematics services is set for solid growth in Western Europe at a CAGR of 47 per cent, reaching 42.5 million in 2019. “Traditional safety and security telematics continues its march forward in Europe with both VW’s Car-Net and GM/Opel’s OnStar scheduled for deployment. A slew of new electrical vehicles from VW, Tesla, BMW, Daimler, and others will also boost telematics uptake and awareness,” says
  • January 6, 2017
    Vehicles to become the new living space, say researchers
    Improvements in advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) sensors are driving automation features in original equipment manufacturer (OEM) vehicles. By collaborating with leading technology providers in the autonomous driving space, OEMs have an opportunity to transform into mobility service providers and introduce levels 4 and 5 autonomous cars earlier than expected, say Frost & Sullivan researchers. With several suppliers already at work on over-the-air upgrades, the adoption of this feature is expected be