Level 4/5 autonomous driving will be possible in the next five years, says research

Growing consumer preference for convenience-enhancing technologies and automobiles-as-a-service options helped double the adoption of vehicles with automated driving features in 2016, says Frost & Sullivan’s mobility team. Going forward, large-scale investments from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) will refine the use of artificial intelligence (AI) and cognitive cloud-based technology solutions even further, enabling level 4/5 autonomous driving within the next five years. Retrofitted automated driv
May 9, 2017 Read time: 2 mins
Growing consumer preference for convenience-enhancing technologies and automobiles-as-a-service options helped double the adoption of vehicles with automated driving features in 2016, says 2097 Frost & Sullivan’s mobility team.


Going forward, large-scale investments from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) will refine the use of artificial intelligence (AI) and cognitive cloud-based technology solutions even further, enabling level 4/5 autonomous driving within the next five years. Retrofitted automated driving solutions and deployment in shared mobility (taxi) platforms will experience robust growth.

“With the introduction of automated driving taxis to support shared mobility business models, the commercial entry of level 4 vehicles is expected by as early as 2020,” said mobility senior analyst Anirudh Venkitaraman. “In the European and North American markets, the introduction of level 3 automation by 2018, driven by over-the-air updates from 8534 Tesla, will strengthen the initial take rates for the technology. Pilot offerings from 2125 Audi, 1731 BMW, and Mercedes-Benz will soon follow, taking the product into the premium market.”

The report, Global Autonomous Driving Market Outlook 2017, finds that the global autonomous driving market will be worth US$83 billion by 2025. The study examines the top trends in the automated driving market, including developments like growing usage of driver assistance, new solutions, robot taxis, cognitive cloud computing, and adoption of mechanical light detection and ranging (LiDAR) for perception improvement.

“Concerns surrounding legislation, system reliability issues, and incompatible infrastructure limit the opportunities for OEMs looking at automated driving,” noted Venkitaraman. “Nevertheless, the journey from human-operated to completely autonomous cars is a progression, and pioneering semi-automated vehicles will be an important milestone toward achieving level 5 automated vehicles.”

Location Based Systems

For more information on companies in this article

Related Content

  • Partnership to provide real-time location sharing while driving
    June 11, 2012
    Mercedes-Benz and Glympse, a mobile technology company that pioneered temporary real-time location sharing, are teaming up to provide real-time location sharing to their drivers by integrating Glympse into the new Mercedes-Benz Digital DriveStyle application, set to launch in the new A-Class in September. Drivers will be able to select a recipient, set a timer, and ‘send a Glympse’ to anyone they choose. The recipient will receive a text or email link, which will show the driver’s real-time location on an i
    Read More
  • TomTom accelerates autonomous driving with new products and partners
    January 10, 2018
    TomTom (TT) has announced the launch of new products and partners to help advance the future of autonomous driving. The TT AutoStream map delivery service enables vehicles to build a horizon for the road ahead by streaming the latest map data from the TT Cloud; while its new predictive driving concept, Motion Q, aims to provide comfort for passengers in self-driving transport. The TT AutoStream has been developed with Baidu and Zenuity as initial partners, while MotionQ can be seen in the new robo-taxi
    Read More
  • IAM RoadSmart welcomes US study on benefits of humans and new vehicles working together
    August 17, 2017
    UK independent road safety charity IAM RoadSmart has welcomed a new white paper which it says supports its statement that we will not gain the full safety benefits of self-driving cars until every car on the road is connected to each other. Until then, IAM RoadSmart believes that the human mind holds the edge, until such point that connected cars actually ‘talk’ to each other and predict what is happening over the horizon. According to the white paper, Sensor Fusion: A Comparison of Sensing Capabilities of
    Read More
  • Bosch and Daimler developing automated parking system
    June 29, 2015
    Daimler, Bosch and car2go are cooperating on a new project that will see cars parking themselves. Automated parking uses an intelligent infrastructure in the car park and a vehicle control unit from Bosch in conjunction with the newest generation of Mercedes-Benz on-board sensors and the car-sharing expertise of car2go. This will enable automated manoeuvring in appropriately equipped parking garages in the near future. The user books a vehicle from car2go via smartphone and as soon as he is in the ca
    Read More

Highlighted Content