Skip to main content

Half of new vehicles shipping in North America to have driverless capabilities by 2032

According to a new study by ABI research, the first driverless vehicles will appear in North America in the beginning of the next decade, evolving to more than 10 million robotic vehicles shipping in 2032. “While the technological feasibility of autonomous vehicles is being demonstrated by Google, Audi, Volvo, Bosch, and Continental, obstacles such as high costs and lack of legislation remain. On the other hand, the benefits of autonomous vehicles in terms of safety, cost savings, efficiency, and posit
August 28, 2013 Read time: 2 mins
According to a new study by 5725 ABI Research, the first driverless vehicles will appear  in North America in the beginning of the next decade, evolving to more than 10 million robotic vehicles shipping in 2032.
 
“While the technological feasibility of autonomous vehicles is being demonstrated by 1691 Google, 2125 Audi, 609 Volvo, 311 Bosch, and 260 Continental, obstacles such as high costs and lack of legislation remain. On the other hand, the benefits of autonomous vehicles in terms of safety, cost savings, efficiency, and positive impact on the economy, are driving research and development efforts globally. With ADAS-type assistance features already being implemented on a wide scale, the next phase of autonomous Co-Pilot type vehicles will materialise in this decade. Fully autonomous, self-driving, robotic vehicles will appear 10 years from now,” says VP and practice director Dominique Bonte.
 
The disruptive effects of autonomous driving are only just being discovered and its transformative impact on the auto industry and society as a whole will be huge with car sharing and declining vehicle ownership being two of its main exponents.
 
Autonomous driving technology represents a long term vision and forms a framework for automotive strategy development. The current focus on passive safety functionality, such as emergency calling, integrated smartphone-based infotainment, advanced HMI addressing driver distraction, and UBI will become less relevant as the gradual move towards active safety and automation renders driver-centric features at least partially redundant. This will require changing attitudes from governments favouring V2X mandates and autonomous driving legislation and subsidization over eCall mandates, HMI guidelines, and banning portable devices.
 
ABI Research’s new “Autonomous Vehicles” study covers autonomous vehicle segmentation, use cases and applications, technology, players and solutions, impact and benefits, challenges and issues, and analogies and lessons learnt from other industries such as aviation and rail.  The report also provides forecasts for autonomous vehicle shipments and technology value per type and region for the next twenty years.

For more information on companies in this article

Related Content

  • Four predictions for the automotive and transportation industry
    May 30, 2012
    Frost & Sullivan has released the results from its customer survey with several hundred companies conducted in December 2011, executed to find out the top predictions for 2012 for the global automotive and transportation market. Market growth in all regions except Europe, accelerated introduction of plug in hybrid and battery electric vehicles due to increasing fuel prices, mobility and integrated transportation as well as the integration of the smart phone with dedicated application stores and innovative H
  • US DOT proposes guidelines to address driver distraction
    November 25, 2016
    The U.S. Department of Transportation’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) released proposed guidelines today to help address driver distraction caused by mobile and other electronic devices in vehicles. The announcement covers the second phase of voluntary guidelines to address driver distraction on US. roads. The first phase focused on devices or systems built into the vehicle at the time of manufacture. The proposed, voluntary guidelines are designed to encourage portable and after
  • ETSC criticises road safety 'own goal'
    March 28, 2022
    Safety group highlights concerns over data retrieval issues in collision investigations
  • Over 700,000 crashes avoided every year in the US thanks to ADAS, predicts new report
    May 19, 2017
    A new study by Ptolemus Consulting Group predicts that advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) will have a considerable impact on safety and the potential to reduce accidents. The firm’s Autonomous Vehicle Global Study provides a comprehensive analysis of the timeline, volumes and impacts of the upcoming automation revolution. It quantifies country-by-country the roll-out of ADAS and autonomous vehicles (AVs) and estimates their impact on driver safety. By 2030, Ptolemus forecasts that there will be more