Skip to main content

Global ADAS market forecast to reach US$261 billion by 2020

Analysts at ABI Research forecast that the global market for ADAS systems will increase to more than US$261 billion by the end of 2020, representing a CAGR of 41%. “ADAS systems are increasingly being offered by mass-market OEMs such as Ford and Volkswagen,” said Gareth Owen, research analyst at ABI Research. “Whilst the majority are offered in bundles and sold as optional “driver-assist” packages, a growing number of OEMs are starting to fit some ADAS systems as standard equipment.” A key catalyst driving
April 19, 2013 Read time: 2 mins
Analysts at 5725 ABI Research forecast that the global market for ADAS systems will increase to more than US$261 billion by the end of 2020, representing a CAGR of 41%.

“ADAS systems are increasingly being offered by mass-market OEMs such as 278 Ford and 994 Volkswagen,” said Gareth Owen, research analyst at ABI Research. “Whilst the majority are offered in bundles and sold as optional “driver-assist” packages, a growing number of OEMs are starting to fit some ADAS systems as standard equipment.”

A key catalyst driving the adoption of ADAS systems in Europe over the next five years will be the 6437 Euro NCAP specifications. The specifications include three types of ADAS systems: speed assistance systems (SAS), autonomous emergency braking (AEB), and Lane departure warning/lane keep assist (LDW/LKA).

According to Owen, the specifications also include detailed phase-in fitment requirements. “For example, SAS becomes part of NCAP as early as 2013 and OEMs will need to ensure that 50 per cent of any new model production is fitted with SAS in order to score points. By 2017, however, it is likely that all three ADAS systems will be required to be fitted as standard in all new models in order to qualify for the highest 5 star safety rating.”

Similar trends can be observed globally although other regions such as North America and Asia-Pacific are expected to lag Europe by 1-3 years. In the United States, the National Highway Transportation Safety Administration (NHTSA) is expected to mandate Collision Imminent Braking (CIB) which is similar to AEB. ADAS should also benefit from cost reductions in key components during the next 4-5 years, for example, radar sensors, which will act as an additional adoption driver.

In the commercial vehicle sector, LDW and AEB will be mandated in November 2013 in Europe. A similar mandate is expected to be passed in the United States within the next 12-24 months.

For more information on companies in this article

Related Content

  • Ford targets fully autonomous vehicle in 2021
    August 17, 2016
    Ford has announced its intention to have a high-volume, fully autonomous vehicle in commercial operation in 2021. The new vehicle will be a Society of Automotive Engineers-rated level 4-capable vehicle without a steering wheel or gas and brake pedals. It is being specifically designed for commercial mobility services, such as ride sharing and ride hailing, and will be available in high volumes. SAE level 4 is one level below full automation and is defined as ‘mode-specific performance by an automated
  • Flexibility, interoperability is key to future traffic management
    February 3, 2012
    Jon Taylor of Faber Maunsell and Tabatha Bailey of Transport for London describe how an unusual mix of traffic practitioners, researchers and industry are working together to build new tools for the future. As we face higher expectations for managing congestion from both citizens and politicians, and as more and more data is becoming available from new sources, our traffic management challenge is changing.
  • New name offers new solutions
    November 26, 2013
    Pete Goldin examines Nokia’s rationale for combining its location services, digital mapping and other capabilities under the HERE brand. While it has divested itself of its mobile phone business to Microsoft, Nokia has kept hold of its HERE business unit and brand which incorporates the company’s location services with digital mapping and other capabilities. The creation of HERE is much more than rebranding as its services are heading off the map and into the cloud. “HERE offers the first location cloud
  • European e-mobility shaping the future for global auto suppliers, strategy expert warns
    September 8, 2017
    Speaking at this week's Frankfurt IAA International Motor Show, US strategy consultant Paul Eichenberg advised automotive suppliers seeking to protect or grow their business as automobile electrification rapidly emerges in Europe to ‘build the future now’. Eichenberg said that Europe is leading the automotive electrification charge globally. German automakers are already developing the electric technologies that will help them meet the next regulatory hurdle for emissions – the proposed Euro VII rules –