Skip to main content

Global ADAS market forecast to reach US$261 billion by 2020

Analysts at ABI Research forecast that the global market for ADAS systems will increase to more than US$261 billion by the end of 2020, representing a CAGR of 41%. “ADAS systems are increasingly being offered by mass-market OEMs such as Ford and Volkswagen,” said Gareth Owen, research analyst at ABI Research. “Whilst the majority are offered in bundles and sold as optional “driver-assist” packages, a growing number of OEMs are starting to fit some ADAS systems as standard equipment.” A key catalyst driving
April 19, 2013 Read time: 2 mins
Analysts at 5725 ABI Research forecast that the global market for ADAS systems will increase to more than US$261 billion by the end of 2020, representing a CAGR of 41%.

“ADAS systems are increasingly being offered by mass-market OEMs such as 278 Ford and 994 Volkswagen,” said Gareth Owen, research analyst at ABI Research. “Whilst the majority are offered in bundles and sold as optional “driver-assist” packages, a growing number of OEMs are starting to fit some ADAS systems as standard equipment.”

A key catalyst driving the adoption of ADAS systems in Europe over the next five years will be the 6437 Euro NCAP specifications. The specifications include three types of ADAS systems: speed assistance systems (SAS), autonomous emergency braking (AEB), and Lane departure warning/lane keep assist (LDW/LKA).

According to Owen, the specifications also include detailed phase-in fitment requirements. “For example, SAS becomes part of NCAP as early as 2013 and OEMs will need to ensure that 50 per cent of any new model production is fitted with SAS in order to score points. By 2017, however, it is likely that all three ADAS systems will be required to be fitted as standard in all new models in order to qualify for the highest 5 star safety rating.”

Similar trends can be observed globally although other regions such as North America and Asia-Pacific are expected to lag Europe by 1-3 years. In the United States, the National Highway Transportation Safety Administration (NHTSA) is expected to mandate Collision Imminent Braking (CIB) which is similar to AEB. ADAS should also benefit from cost reductions in key components during the next 4-5 years, for example, radar sensors, which will act as an additional adoption driver.

In the commercial vehicle sector, LDW and AEB will be mandated in November 2013 in Europe. A similar mandate is expected to be passed in the United States within the next 12-24 months.

Related Content

  • May 2, 2018
    V2X: The design challenges
    The connected future throws up a number of enticing possibilities for us all. But, says Houman Zarrinkoub of MathWorks, issues around visualisation, prototyping and model evolution need to be examined carefully. We are all aware of the huge amount of investment going into driverless car technologies. With the likes of Volvo, Tesla and BMW getting in on the act, soon they will be a common sight on our roads. However, for this to occur, the vehicles must be able to connect with each other and ensure driver
  • April 16, 2019
    5G or not 5G?
    Just a few years ago, there was only one solution in terms of communications protocols for delivering vehicle connectivity. Now, road operators and vehicle manufacturers face choices – including a moral choice, perhaps. Jason Barnes looks at the current state of play There is a debate raging in the ITS world over future communications protocols. Asfinag, Austria’s national strategic road operator, has announced it will from 2020 be using ITS-G5 to support cooperative ITS (C-ITS) applications (‘First thin
  • December 9, 2016
    Market for industrial and commercial electric vehicles market to grow 4.5 times
    According to a new report by IDTechEx Research, Industrial and Commercial Electric Vehicles on Land 2017-2027, today’s industrial and commercial sector represents 60 per cent of the value of the whole electric vehicle market, and it is set to grow 4.5 times in the next decade. Industrial electric vehicles make industry more efficient and commercial electric vehicles reduce congestion. Both of them greatly reduce pollution and align closely with government objectives concerning industry and the environment,
  • November 2, 2015
    Government incentives ‘vital to help OEMs tackle costs for gasoline particulate filters’
    According to the latest analysis from Frost & Sullivan, the competitive, growing gasoline particulate filters (GPFs) market in Europe and North America presents suppliers and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) with diverse opportunities as well as challenges. The inclusion of particulate number regulation within emission norms will accelerate the adoption of GPFs. However, government incentives will be vital to help OEMs tackle the rising costs of GPF installations. The analysis, Analysis of the GP